Studying the history of an entire country is hard, studying the history of one community is…also hard?

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I was recently reading two books that addressed historical changes in two groups of very different sizes: the entire United States versus a medium sized suburb. Is one easier to examine or understand compared to the other?

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The one looking at hundreds of years of history in what became the United States cannot go into as much depth. The scholar who wrote the history makes clear statements regarding how they interpret broad patterns. They highlight key moments, people and groups, and places.

Does this mean it is easier to study one community? The scholarly work about the history of one suburb – with a primary on just a few decades – has more details. But the author states that they cannot fully represent the history of the community given all the different perspectives and experiences there. And they also clearly make their own argument about how to interpret this history.

It is hard to compare two different works with such different goals: cover 500+ plus years of history on one topic in one large country and another primarily approaching several decades in the second half of the twentieth century in a medium sized suburb. Yet, they both are making claims. They argue they found things worth paying attention to. They say these findings can help us understand broader patterns.

Even as there are people who study both kinds of cases, my sense is that studies in recent years have more more to the smaller scale. Making big claims about broad sweeps of history requires a lot of work. If there are many stories on the local level, how many more are there with bigger cases.

In doing a little of each kind of work, I find they present their own difficulties. They have satisfying aspects; the details of a smaller case are interesting to understand while trying to uncover the patterns across a lot going on with a larger case is also interesting. They are different sorts of puzzles that can better help us understand what has happened and where we are now.

The falling number of adult men in the US workforce explained by absolute numbers and percentages

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What numbers would make it easier to understand what is happening to how many adult men are in the US workforce? This article starts with absolute numbers:

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The latest Bureau of Labor Statistics breakdown found that 44.07 million of 132.8 million eligible men older than 15 — or 33.2% — were not in the labor force last month. That’s 9 million more out-of-work men (29%) than in 2012.

The number of men opting not to work jumped by 891,000 over the preceding 12 months alone, as the economy sheds manufacturing and finance jobs.

Those numbers sound big. 9 million compared to fourteen years ago. Nearly 900,000 in just one year.

But how many adult men are in the workforce in the first place? Has this changed much between 2012 and 2026 or even in the last year? How many people live in the United States anyway?

Percentages are provided later in the article:

The share of eligible men participating in the workforce dropped from 77.5% in 1976 to 66.8% last month, the lowest nonpandemic reading since 1948. Meanwhile, the share of eligible women in the workforce has climbed from 47.3% in 1976 to 56.4%, boosted by growing fields, such as healthcare…

The recruiting industry trade group estimates that the number of men leaving the workforce after turning 65 has jumped by 99% since 2000, compared with a 71% increase among women. Currently, 53% of people entering the workforce are women and 47% are men.

The percentages suggest men in the workforce dropped over 10% between 1976 to 2026. And the percentage comparisons to women are interesting.

My guess is that the absolute numbers might catch people’s attention. The headline for the story provides evidence for this: “Millions of men are ditching the workforce.” Whoa, millions of men? What is happening? Something needs to be done.

Percentages are better for understanding the scope of the changes. An over 10% change over 60 years may not catch as much attention but it helps put the millions number in context. This is a change – but there are a lot of men and people in the United States.

Both sets of numbers may be accurate but I would vote for the percentages as they help put the changes in context.

Using increasing home equity to pay off other debts

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The investment many Americans have made into houses or housing units has another benefit: helping residents pay off other financial obligations.

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Americans continue to spend freely, keeping the economy humming, even as they amass more credit card debt. But like Ms. Boroski, many homeowners have built up a nest egg to help pay for their lifestyles: $35 trillion in home equity, a record high…

Household debt increased 3 percent in the first quarter of 2026, to $18.8 trillion, from a year earlier, according to a report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, using data not adjusted for inflation. Mortgages made up the biggest chunk of that total, but credit card balances climbed 6 percent to $1.25 trillion from the year before.

In the same three months, homeowners withdrew an estimated $47 billion in equity, up 2 percent from the same period in 2025, according to a report from the Intercontinental Exchange, a financial services company. Second mortgages amounted to $25 billion, a 1 percent increase from a year earlier, but refinancing existing mortgages to take cash out jumped 18 percent year over year to $22 billion…

Financial brokers are seeing more refinancing activity across the country, as more people seek to pull themselves out from under a pile of bills.

This is a possible outcome when so many housing values have risen in recent years. Of course, that larger housing value is just a number until someone sells (or property taxes are due).

It also highlights those who cannot access this financial cushion. This includes people who cannot purchase housing in the first place or people who do not have much equity.

And, perhaps the most important feature is in the first paragraph above: “Americans continue to spend freely.” Some of this is on required items for day to day living. Costs keep going up. Yet, the linked article suggests: “there are hints that more Americans are taking the opportunity to spend more on what they want, not just what they have to buy.” If consumption is both a way of life and an essential part of the economy, looking for ways to leverage assets to keep it all going becomes helpful or even necessary.

The coldest blasts of air on Manhattan sidewalks

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I walked the streets of Manhattan quite a bit on a recent trip. It was hot. Heat advisory hot. As I walked, I occasionally felt strong blasts of cold air. Not just a little breeze; shots of chilled air crossing the sidewalk. Where were they coming from?

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The strongest sidewalk air conditioning seemed to come from New York souvenir shops. The stores with mugs, t-shirts, keychains, stickers, and hundreds of NYC themed items. They had their doors wide open and the temperature was cold compared to that on the street.

I presume the owners of these stores are not interested in creating a better sidewalk experience; they want people to feel that air and head inside. In the cool interior, they will snatch up all kinds of souvenirs they did not know they needed. They will linger even longer when they remember how hot it is outside.

Few other businesses pursued this model. Department stores, restaurants, office buildings, indoor malls – their doors had to be opened and closed. They did not feel the need to try to entice people on the sidewalks with air conditioning.

Does the free air conditioning work? Does it sell more souvenirs? Since it is not cheap to let all that air conditioning escape, I’m guessing it may help these stores (or they believe it helps).

Brain drain in the United States

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The Wisconsin Policy Forum recently published an analysis of brain drain in their state and across the United States:

Wisconsin’s net brain drain ranks second nationally, behind only North Dakota (see Figure 1). This is a slight improvement from 2009, when Wisconsin’s net brain drain (-15.3 percentage points) was the highest in the nation. Most other Midwestern states have experienced similarly high rates of net brain drain, with the exception of Illinois, which stands out as the region’s only net “brain‑gain” state (+10.4 points). Nationally, a few other states with strong metropolitan hubs — such as Virginia (+5.8 points) in the Southeast and Colorado (+8.2) and Utah (+1.0) in the West — defy regional brain‑drain trends…

While brain drain measures the educational gap between movers and entrants, it does not account for the volume of people moving. A state may lose more highly educated residents than it gains, but the impact is far greater when large numbers of people are leaving, especially when the state has a less educated population to begin with.

This dimension is captured in Figure 4, which compares each state’s net brain drain rate against its cumulative domestic migration rate from 2020 to 2024 using data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Population Estimates Program. Domestic net migration reflects only movement of U.S.-born adults — regardless of age — between states; it excludes births, deaths, and international migration. To help interpret these patterns based on a state’s educational foundation, Figure 4 also groups states by the educational level of their birth cohort—high, middle, and low terciles—based on our brain drain analysis.

Three quick thoughts:

  1. It appears that the national map shows patterns: states with large and vibrant cities and metropolitan areas draw educated residents (think Boston, New York, Washington, D.C., Chicago, Houston, Dallas, Austin, Denver, Seattle, Portland, the Bay Area, and Los Angeles). It would be interesting to see this map by metro area rather than by state as there are likely differences within many states.
  2. It would not be a big leap to go from this data analysis to an argument that cities and states should work even harder to attract young professionals or “the creative class.” How might this fit with efforts to serve and provide opportunities for current residents?
  3. These figures reflect a dynamic context. Americans are less geographically mobile than earlier in the postwar era. Work from home opportunities are more plentiful for educated employees. Travel is relatively easy compared to the past. At the same time, cities and industries and cultural opportunities continue to cluster in particular places, attracting people and resources. How might this all affect brain gain and drain in the coming years?

Waterfront town, power plant cooling tower in clear view

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Michigan City, Indiana is a small city on Lake Michigan. Driving through the community, here is what you see:

A cooling tower for a power plant is hard to miss. How does this affect development or the waterfront experience? A Chicago Tribune article from October 2025 describes the scene:

The city of 33,000, a mixture of blue-collar workplace and lakefront playground, has benefited from several major developments in recent years. It is the home of a planned $300 million luxury hotel and townhouse development called SoLa (South of the Lake).

Last year, the addition of a second railroad track and new train station on the Metra South Shore Line cut commute times to Chicago to about an hour. It also is a gateway to the Indiana Dunes, which saw the number of visitors in recent years jump to around 3 million after it became a national park…

Other new developments include a $100 million, 12-story, mixed-use building at the train station called The Franklin, and 33 new single-family homes at Woodland Ridge…

But any plan to increase tourism in town will have to address a lurking eyesore that dominates the otherwise gorgeous lakefront: a giant concrete power plant cooling tower known to some locally as “the monstrosity,” that mars the views of the lakefront from every direction. Though the structure is for a coal power plant, visitors often assume it is for a nuclear plant.

NIPSCO, the company that operates the plant, says it plans to close the facility by the end of 2028. But NIPSCO also has plans to open a new gas-powered plant to power a coming data center, so it’s not clear what will become of the old plant.

The contrast is clear: waterfront property close to Chicago that is less desirable because of industry and a cooling tower. Move away from the industry and power plant and property values are higher and redevelopment opportunities more enticing. Removing a cooling tower several hundred feet tall would definitely change the local scenery. It may be a while – or never – before a residential tower reaches similar heights but the development already happening hints that more could be on the way.

This is certainly not the only waterfront community in the Midwest or in the United States with a power plant on the water. From places I have been in recent years, I also recall a power plant on the water in Sheboygan, Wisconsin. Or communities with major industrial works. Gary, Indiana is not too far away or the southeast side of Chicago.

With ongoing needs for power and resistance to power plants when they are proposed for certain places, where could a power plant like this go? Few people today would proposed a power plant along the water in or near population centers. Northern Indiana does have more open space away from the water – but land would need to be acquired, local approvals would be needed, demolition in Michigan City would have to happen. Power plants have to go somewhere, even if they are addressing issues raised by construction decisions from decades ago.

Rare religious suburban street names

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Some suburban street names are more unusual than others. I recently noted a neighborhood I occasionally drive past has religious street names. Here are several of them:

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-Trinity Lane

-St. Joseph Drive

-St. Francis Circle

When many suburban subdivisions have bland names that invoke landscapes or desirable historical connections, why would this neighborhood invoke religious ideas?

The area used to be a Franciscan Friary. The developer maintained connections to the religious group with the street names. Prior to the religious group owning the land, a wealthy coal company owner was the land owner.

I wonder how many suburban subdivisions have clearly religious street names. Given the number of religious congregations and groups in the United States, this might not be unexpected. However, I suspect this is quite unusual as developers want to appeal to a broad audience of possible homeowners and they want to connect certain ideas with the housing units.

(This would not often be a street name in newer subdivisions but would Church St/Ave/Rd/Ln be the most common “religious” street name in American suburbs?)

Will Americans get used to delivery drones just like they got used to hordes of delivery trucks?

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Florida residents recently responded to Walmart starting delivery via drone:

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Reactions to the drones added at the Walmart Supercenter in Apopka have been mixed, with some residents like Brittany Nilsen saying she’d “absolutely” use the service for the sake of “convenience.”…

Some likened the noise to a police siren or fire truck but said they’d become accustomed to it.

In addition to the noise, other locals said they were worried about privacy and safety…

After arrival, the drone hovers about 20 feet above the drop zone and lowers the order down via the tether, with the drone itself never landing on a Walmart customer’s yard.

Imagine the air at roughly building height or tree top level with a steady stream of drones delivering packages from different suppliers. There would be noise. They would be part of the view when looking into the sky or looking into the distance.

But I was reminded this week of the ways that we now just accept delivery trucks all over the place. The trucks stop in roadways with their flashers on while the driver goes to the door to complete the delivery. They stop on narrow roads and busy roads. They add to traffic.

The benefit of both is that people get their desired objects without having to go to a store. The delivery comes directly to them. This modern convenience is expected and people will sacrifice for it to happen. Americans like driving and they are willing to put up with traffic and stopped vehicles to get their packages. Whatever downsides come with drones could be outweighed by packages coming via the sky.

Trying to find the source of the enticing grill smells

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Perhaps you have encountered this situation before: you are walking, biking, or driving through a neighborhood. Your nose suddenly picks up the smell of something grilling. Perhaps meat, maybe vegetables. It is tinged with smoke. It smells good. But where exactly is that smell coming from?

Much of our cooking or food preparation in the United States takes place inside. We have kitchens that facilitate storing and making food. Others can’t see it (unless there is a prominent window). They may occasionally smell it.

Even if people are grilling outside, it often takes place in backyards. Few Americans grill in their front yards or by their front doors. This is an activity typically reserved for the more private backyard.

So where is the grill smell coming from? One hint might be whether you can see smoke. Different grill techniques or different grilled items might lead to more smoke. Could you follow it to a source?

And even if you did identify the location of the good grilling smells, it would be rare in the American setting for a stranger to approach the grill and/or griller. Unless it is taking place in a more public setting (a front yard? a park? outside a restaurant?), the grilling is an activity for the griller and their acquaintances, not for a broader audience.

In the moment, you will have to settle for enjoying the grilling smells from a distance. Perhaps it will prompt you to grill yourselves or find someone who will grill for you. It is a good moment – but it is also a reminder of food preparation in private spaces.

Opposition to Flock cameras and which communities will end up keeping them

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More people are stating or acting on their opposition to Flock cameras along roadways:

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Over the last few months, people have cut down surveillance cameras owned by the company Flock Safety with an electric saw in upstate New York, thrown paint on them in Oakland, California, and rammed a truck into them in Idaho. One man in Florida sits in a lawn chair holding up a piece of cardboard on a pole to block the camera’s view. City governments have joined in by deactivating the cameras or canceling contracts with Flock in Fort Collins, Colorado; Eugene, Oregon; Madison, Wisconsin; Knoxville, Tennessee; Syracuse, New York; and Walla Walla, Washington…

Flock says it has 120,000 automated license plate reader (ALPR) and pan, tilt, and zoom (PTZ) cameras deployed throughout the US, capturing tens of billions of data points a month. Flock’s ALPRs automatically scan every license plate that passes them, while the PTZs record live footage that can be reviewed and analyzed. Because Flock cameras are all connected, the result is a nationwide latticework of recorded activity. Across the majority of states, a police officer in one state can be alerted if a car they’re looking for pops up in another and can inform the local authorities…

Over the last few months, Flock has been making headlines for all the wrong reasons. Police have been caught using the system to stalk exes and colleagues, and journalists have reported that, contrary to the company’s claims that it only logs vehicles, the cameras can be used to track people.

I wondered in October 2025 why there was so little opposition in suburbs to license plate cameras. In that post, I suggested one reason suburban residents may not oppose the cameras is because of fear of crime.

As more Americans now respond to the cameras, which communities will end up cancelling contracts and which ones will keep them? The list above in the first paragraph involves smaller big cities. Does this mean opposition to cameras is primarily in such communities? Or would opposition to cameras drop (1) in places with higher crime rates or (2) in places with higher fear of crime?

It will also be interesting to see how local leaders in different kinds of communities respond to public pressure. Who will resist opposition and what reasons will they give? The company offers a defense of their product and its use; whether local leaders use similar lines remains to be seen.